Unlocking nitrogen management potential via large-scale farming for air quality and substantial co-benefits

被引:0
作者
Li, Baojie [1 ]
Liao, Hong [1 ]
Li, Ke [1 ]
Wang, Ye [1 ]
Zhang, Lin [2 ]
Guo, Yixin [3 ]
Liu, Lei [4 ]
Li, Jingyi [1 ]
Jin, Jianbing [1 ]
Yang, Yang [1 ]
Gong, Cheng [5 ]
Wang, Teng [6 ]
Shen, Weishou [1 ]
Wang, Pinya [1 ]
Dang, Ruijun [7 ]
Liao, Kaihua [8 ]
Zhu, Qing [8 ]
Jacob, Daniel J. [7 ]
机构
[1] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Atmospher Environm & Equipm, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Jiangsu Key Lab Atmospher Environm Monitoring & Po, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China
[2] Peking Univ, Sch Phys, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Lab Climate & Ocean Atmosphere Studies, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
[3] Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Earth Ocean & Atmospher Sci Thrust Funct Hub, Guangzhou 511442, Peoples R China
[4] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Earth & Environm Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
[5] Max Planck Inst Biogeochem, Dept Biogeochem Signals, D-07745 Jena, Germany
[6] Hohai Univ, Coll Oceanog, Nanjing 210024, Peoples R China
[7] Harvard Univ, John A Paulson Sch Engn & Appl Sci, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[8] Chinese Acad Sci, Nanjing Inst Geog & Limnol, Key Lab Watershed Geograph Sci, Nanjing 210008, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
nitrogen management; large-scale farming; air quality; ammonia emission; AMMONIA EMISSIONS; CHINA; SIZE; PM2.5;
D O I
10.1093/nsr/nwae324
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
China's sustained air quality improvement is hindered by unregulated ammonia (NH3) emissions from inefficient nitrogen management in smallholder farming. Although the Chinese government is promoting a policy shift to large-scale farming, the benefits of this, when integrated with nitrogen management, remain unclear. Here we fill this gap using an integrated assessment, by combining geostatistical analysis, high-resolution emission inventories, farm surveys and air quality modeling. Smallholder-dominated farming allows only 13%-31% NH3 reduction, leading to limited PM2.5 decreases nationally due to non-linear PM2.5 chemistry. Conversely, large-scale farming would double nitrogen management adoption rates, increasing NH3 reduction potential to 48%-58% and decreasing PM2.5 by 9.4-14.0 mu g<middle dot>m-3 in polluted regions. The estimated PM2.5 reduction is conservative due to localized NH3-rich conditions under large-scale livestock farming. This strategy could prevent over 300 000 premature deaths and achieve a net benefit of US $68.4-86.8 billion annually, unlocking immense benefits for air quality and agricultural sustainability.
引用
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页数:11
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