More reason for humility in our relationships with ecological communities

被引:0
作者
Vucetich, John A. [1 ]
Hoy, Sarah R. [1 ]
Peterson, Rolf O. [1 ]
机构
[1] Michigan Technol Univ, Coll Forest Resources & Environm Sci, Houghton, MI 49931 USA
关键词
consequentialism; forecasting; historical contingency; philosophy of science; uncertainty; CONSERVATION; VIRTUE; UNCERTAINTY; DYNAMICS; SCIENCE; ETHICS; BIASES; STATES;
D O I
10.1093/biosci/biae129
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Many public decisions about the environment seem infused with a worldview that supposes nature is well understood as a machine and that the key purpose of science is the discovery of its rules to then control nature for the betterment of humanity. That nature-as-machine worldview leads to damaging overconfidence in forecasting ecological outcomes. A competing worldview is that nature is better understood to unfold like human history-explainable but critically and inherently unpredictable because of the important influence of historically contingent events. Recent analysis offers compelling support for this idea. This article explores a demanding consequence of such findings-namely, that those involved-directly and indirectly-with environmental decision-making should strive to relax the influence of the nature-as-machine worldview on environmental decisions, including difficult-to-identify influences that have resulted from centuries of this worldview's normalization. This striving includes analyzing decisions about the environment in terms of humility and favoring humbler decisions.
引用
收藏
页码:163 / 171
页数:9
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