Risk Factors for Musculoskeletal Disorders in Korean Farmers: Survey on Occupational Diseases in 2020 and 2022

Background/Objectives: This study investigated factors influencing the prevalence of musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) resulting from agricultural work, utilizing the 2020 and 2022 occupational disease survey data collected by the Rural Development Administration. The combined data from these years indicated a 6.02% prevalence of MSDs, reflecting a significant class imbalance in the binary response variables. This imbalance could lead to classifiers overlooking rare events, potentially inflating accuracy assessments. Methods: We evaluated five distinct models to compare their performance using both original and synthetic data and assessing the models' performance based on synthetic data generation. In the multivariate logistic model, we focused on the main effects of the covariates as there were no statistically significant second-order interactions. Results: Focusing on the random over-sampling examples (ROSE) method, gender, age, and pesticide use were particularly impactful. The odds of experiencing MSDs were 1.29 times higher for females than males. The odds increased with age: 2.66 times higher for those aged 50-59, 4.60 times higher for those aged 60-69, and 7.16 times higher for those aged 70 or older, compared to those under 50. Pesticide use was associated with 1.26 times higher odds of developing MSDs. Among body part usage variables, all except wrists and knees were significant. Farmers who frequently used their necks, arms, and waist showed 1.27, 1.11, and 1.23 times higher odds of developing MSDs, respectively. Conclusions: The accuracy of the raw method was high, but the ROSE method outperformed it for precision and F1 score, and both methods showed similar AUC.