Incorporating Risk in Operational Water Resources Management: Probabilistic Forecasting, Scenario Generation, and Optimal Control

被引:0
作者
van der Heijden, Ties [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ]
Mendoza-Lugo, Miguel Angel [5 ]
Palensky, Peter [2 ]
van de Giesen, Nick [1 ]
Abraham, Edo [1 ]
机构
[1] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Civil Engn, Dept Water Management, Delft, Netherlands
[2] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Elect Engn Math & Comp Sci, Dept Elect Sustainable Energy, Delft, Netherlands
[3] HKV Consultants, Delft, Netherlands
[4] Pythia Energy Intelligence, Delft, Netherlands
[5] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Civil Engn, Dept Hydraul Engn, Delft, Netherlands
关键词
operational uncertainty; demand response; risk-aware control; stochastic MPC; forecasting; energy markets; MODEL-PREDICTIVE CONTROL; ENSEMBLE; SYSTEMS; OPTIMIZATION; MARKETS;
D O I
10.1029/2024WR037115
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Accurate measurement of tension forces in vertical hangers is critical for ensuring the operational safety of arch bridges. To overcome the limitations of traditional contact-based sensors, such as time-consuming deployment and labor-intensive processes, this study introduces a lightweight and -cost-effective millimeter-wave radar system for efficient tension force monitoring. The contributions of this work are twofold: (1) A lightweight radar system is developed, integrating a compact radar unit, embedded data processing modules, and a remote control computer. This system achieves real-time tension force measurement with ultra-high spatial resolution (5 cm), superior to conventional centimeter-wave radar systems, while significantly reducing weight (1 kg) and hardware costs. (2) A theoretical framework is established to correlate vibration displacement (captured by the developed radar) with dynamic tension forces, incorporating the analysis of critical parameters such as measurement alignment (in-plane vs. out-of-plane directions) and sensor positioning effects. Field experiments on an operational arch bridge validate the proposed methodology. Key findings include: (a) measurement direction has negligible influence (<1% relative error) on tension estimation, though in-plane alignment yields marginally higher accuracy; (b) while sensor positioning strongly affects displacement amplitudes, vibration frequencies (and thus derived tension forces) remain position-insensitive; (c) radar-measured tension forces exhibit <3% deviation from reference sensors. These results demonstrate that the developed millimeter-wave radar system has significant potential for tension force measurement and safety evaluation of arch, suspension, and cable-stayed bridges in transportation networks.
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页数:27
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