methods: analytical;
methods: data analysis;
Sun: coronal mass ejections (CMEs);
Sun: heliosphere;
Sun: magnetic fields;
solar wind;
SOLAR-WIND DATA;
MAGNETIC CLOUD;
EVENTS;
SUN;
D O I:
10.1051/0004-6361/202452288
中图分类号:
P1 [天文学];
学科分类号:
0704 ;
摘要:
Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are one of the primary drivers of space weather disturbances, affecting both space-based and terrestrial technologies. The accurate prediction of CME trajectories and their arrival times at Earth is crucial for mitigating potential impacts. In this work, we introduce an extended drag-based model (EDBM) that incorporates an additional acceleration term to better capture the complex dynamics of CMEs as they propagate through the heliosphere. Preliminary results suggest that the EDBM can improve upon the classical drag-based model by providing more reliable estimates of CME travel times, particularly in cases where the CME experiences residual acceleration. However, further validation is required to fully assess the operational potential of the model for space weather forecasting. This study lays the groundwork for future investigations and applications, with the aim of enhancing the accuracy of CME prediction models.
机构:
Univ Alabama, Dept Space Sci, Huntsville, AL 35805 USAUniv Alabama, Dept Space Sci, Huntsville, AL 35805 USA
Singh, T.
Yalim, M. S.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Alabama, Ctr Space Plasma & Aeron Res, Huntsville, AL 35805 USAUniv Alabama, Dept Space Sci, Huntsville, AL 35805 USA
Yalim, M. S.
Pogorelov, N. V.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Alabama, Dept Space Sci, Huntsville, AL 35805 USA
Univ Alabama, Ctr Space Plasma & Aeron Res, Huntsville, AL 35805 USAUniv Alabama, Dept Space Sci, Huntsville, AL 35805 USA
机构:
Univ Catania, Dipartimento Fis & Astron, I-95123 Catania, Italy
Katholieke Univ Leuven, Ctr Plasma Astrophys, B-3001 Louvain, BelgiumUniv Catania, Dipartimento Fis & Astron, I-95123 Catania, Italy
Zuccarello, F. P.
Soenen, A.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Katholieke Univ Leuven, Ctr Plasma Astrophys, B-3001 Louvain, BelgiumUniv Catania, Dipartimento Fis & Astron, I-95123 Catania, Italy
Soenen, A.
Poedts, S.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Katholieke Univ Leuven, Ctr Plasma Astrophys, B-3001 Louvain, BelgiumUniv Catania, Dipartimento Fis & Astron, I-95123 Catania, Italy
Poedts, S.
Zuccarello, F.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Catania, Dipartimento Fis & Astron, I-95123 Catania, ItalyUniv Catania, Dipartimento Fis & Astron, I-95123 Catania, Italy
Zuccarello, F.
Jacobs, C.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Katholieke Univ Leuven, Ctr Plasma Astrophys, B-3001 Louvain, BelgiumUniv Catania, Dipartimento Fis & Astron, I-95123 Catania, Italy
机构:
George Mason Univ, 4400 Univ Dr, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
Goddard Space Flight Ctr, 8800 Greenbelt Rd, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USAGeorge Mason Univ, 4400 Univ Dr, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
Balmaceda, L. A.
Vourlidas, A.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Univ, Appl Phys Lab, Johns Hopkins Rd, Laurel, MD 20723 USA
Natl Observ Athens, IAASARS, Penteli 15236, GreeceGeorge Mason Univ, 4400 Univ Dr, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
Vourlidas, A.
Stenborg, G.
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机构:
US Naval Res Lab, Space Sci Div, Washington, DC 20375 USAGeorge Mason Univ, 4400 Univ Dr, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
Stenborg, G.
St Cyr, O. C.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Goddard Space Flight Ctr, 8800 Greenbelt Rd, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
Univ Space Res Assoc, Columbia, MD 21046 USAGeorge Mason Univ, 4400 Univ Dr, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA