The Evolution of Artificial Intelligence: From Assistance to Super Mind of Artificial General Intelligence? Article 2. Artificial Intelligence: Terra Incognita or Controlled Force?

被引:0
作者
Grinin, Leonid E. [1 ,2 ]
Grinin, Anton L. [3 ]
Grinin, Igor L. [4 ]
机构
[1] HSE Univ, Moscow, Russia
[2] Russian Acad Sci, Inst Oriental Studies, Moscow, Russia
[3] Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Moscow, Russia
[4] Volgograd State Tech Univ, Volgograd, Russia
来源
SOCIAL EVOLUTION & HISTORY | 2024年 / 23卷 / 02期
基金
俄罗斯科学基金会;
关键词
information and communication technologies; ICT; artificial intelligence; AI; large language models; LLM; cognitive science; self-regulating systems; the Cybernetic Revolution; inforg; technological progress; PRIVACY;
D O I
10.30884/seh/2024.02.07
中图分类号
D58 [社会生活与社会问题]; C913 [社会生活与社会问题];
学科分类号
摘要
The article is devoted to the history of the development of ICT and AI, their current and expected future achievements, and the problems (which have already arisen but will become even more acute in the future) associated with the development of these technologies and their widespread application in society. It shows the close connection between the development of AI and cognitive science, the penetration of ICT and AI into various spheres, particularly health care, and the very intimate areas related to the creation of digital copies of the deceased and posthumous contact with them. A significant part of the article is devoted to the analysis of the concept of 'artificial intelligence', including the definition of generative AI. The authors analyse recent achievements in the field of Artificial Intelligence. There are given descriptions of the basic models, in particular the Large Linguistic Models (LLM), and forecasts of the development ofAI and the dangers that await us in the coming decades. The authors identify the forces behind the aspiration to create AI, which is increasingly approaching the capabilities of the so-called general/universal AI, and also suggest desirable measures to limit and channel the development of artificial intelligence. It is emphasized that the threats and dangers of the development of ICT and AI are particularly aggravated by the monopolization of their development by the state, intelligence services, major corporations and those often referred to as globalists. The article provides forecasts of the development of computers, ICT and AI in the coming decades, and also shows the changes in society that will be associated with them . The study consists of two articles. The first, published in the previous issue of the journal, has provided a brief historical overview and characterized the current situation in the field ofICT and AI. It has also analyzed the concepts of artificial intelligence, including generative AI, changes in the understanding of AI related to the emergence of the socalled large language models and related new types of AI programs (ChatGPT and similar models). The article has discussed the serious problems and dangers associated with the rapid and uncontrolled development of artificial intelligence. This second article describes and comments on the current assessments of breakthroughs in the field ofAI, analyzes various predictions, and provides the authors' own assessments and predictions of future developments. Particular attention is paid to the problems and dangers associated with the rapid and uncontrolled development of AI, with the fact that advances in this field become a powerful means of control over the population, imposing ideologies, priorities and lifestyles, influencing the results of elections, and a tool to undermine security and geopolitical struggles.
引用
收藏
页码:165 / 189
页数:25
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