Design of a European high-speed rail network and use of passenger demand forecasting to test European policy targets

被引：0

作者：

Kampp, Marco ^{[1
]}

Sedelmeier, Julia ^{[1
]}

Schueth, Jan ^{[1
]}

Thust, Martin ^{[1
]}

Kaiser, Daniel ^{[1
]}

Scherr, Wolfgang ^{[2
]}

Schlaich, Johannes ^{[3
]}

Senk, Petr ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] DB Fernverkehr AG, Europa Allee 78-84, D-60486 Frankfurt, Germany

[2] MOVENTES GmbH, Eggholzlistr 69, CH-3006 Bern, Switzerland

[3] Berliner Hsch Tech, Luxemburger Str 10, D-13353 Berlin, Germany

[4] PTV Planung Transport Verkehr GmbH, Haid Und Neu Str 15, D-76131 Karlsruhe, Germany

来源：

EUROPEAN TRANSPORT RESEARCH REVIEW | 2025年 / 17卷 / 01期

关键词：

High-speed rail; European Union; Green deal; Travel demand model; Passenger demand forecast; Long-distance travel; Rail network design; TEN-T;

D O I：

10.1186/s12544-025-00715-y

中图分类号：

U [交通运输];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0823 ;

摘要：

High-speed rail (HSR) is regarded as an important element in the transformation of long-distance transportation towards a climate-friendly system with less road and air travel. The European Union adopted the Green Deal which sets specific targets to increase HSR travel demand in Europe. Although there is broad consensus that Europe's HSR network needs to be improved, few systematic studies have yet proposed future European HSR networks with detailed travel times, stations, and service frequencies. This study designed an HSR network, dubbed the "Metropolitan Network", which connects all metropolitan regions within the European Union. The network was tested with passenger demand forecasts, using a robust travel demand model based on supply and demand data across all modes of long-distance travel. The main finding of the study is that the recently revised TEN-T plans are not sufficient to meet the EU Green Deal targets, whereas the proposed "Metropolitan Network" will exceed these targets. However, substantial investments in HSR infrastructure and fleet capacity will be necessary.

引用

页数：13