Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) predicts relapse free and overall survival in unresected locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with chemoradiotherapy

Introduction Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) is a cytokine of the TGF beta family. Here, we analyzed GDF15 levels in patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC) who participated in OCOG-ALMERA (NCT02115464), a phase II randomized clinical trial, that investigated metformin in combination with standard of care concurrent chemoradiotherapy (cCRT). OCOG-ALMERA was not able to demonstrate benefit in the metformin arm. Therefore, biomarker studies are needed to better define stratification parameters for future trials. Methods Patients were randomized to treatment with platinum-based chemotherapy and concurrent chest radiotherapy (60-66 Gy), with or without metformin (2000 mg/d). The trial collected tumor volume parameters, survival outcomes, and patient blood plasma at baseline, during (weeks 1 and 6) and 6 months after cCRT. Plasma GDF15 levels were assayed with the ELISA method. Statistical analyses explored associations between GDF15, survival outcomes, and radiotherapy tumor volumes. Results Baseline plasma levels of GDF15 were elevated in study patients, they increased during cCRT (p < 0.001), and the addition of metformin was associated with a further increase (week 6, p = 0.033). Baseline GDF15 levels correlated with the radiotherapy gross target volume (GTV, p < 0.01), while week 1 of radiotherapy levels correlated with radiotherapy planned target volume (PTV, p < 0.006). In multivariate analysis, baseline plasma GDF15 was prognostic for poor relapse-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) (p = 0.005 and p = 0.002, respectively). Conclusions GDF15 is a plasma marker that responds to the treatment of unresected LA-NSCLC with cCRT and metformin. GDF15 levels correspond with tumor volume and increased GDF15 levels predict for poor RFS and OS. These results require validation in larger clinical trial datasets.