Leveraging dynamics informed neural networks for predictive modeling of COVID-19 spread: a hybrid SEIRV-DNNs approach

被引:0
作者
Cheng, Cheng [1 ]
Aruchunan, Elayaraja [2 ]
Aziz, Muhamad Hifzhudin Noor [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Malaya, Fac Sci, Inst Math Sci, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia
[2] Univ Malaya, Fac Business & Econ, Dept Decis Sci, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia
来源
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS | 2025年 / 15卷 / 01期
关键词
COVID-19; Transmission dynamics; Neural networks; DINNs;
D O I
10.1038/s41598-025-85440-1
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
A dynamics informed neural networks (DINNs) incorporating the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-vaccinated (SEIRV) model was developed to enhance the understanding of the temporal evolution dynamics of infectious diseases. This work integrates differential equations with deep neural networks to predict time-varying parameters in the SEIRV model. Experimental results based on reported data from China between January 1, and December 1, 2022, demonstrate that the proposed dynamics informed neural networks (DINNs) method can accurately learn the dynamics and predict future states. Our proposed hybrid SEIRV-DNNs model can also be applied to other infectious diseases such as influenza and dengue, with some modifications to the compartments and parameters in the model to accommodate the related control measures. This approach will facilitate improving predictive modeling and optimizing public health intervention strategies.
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页数:13
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