A cost-effective climate mitigation pathway for China with co-benefits for sustainability

被引:7
作者
Chen, Meiqian [1 ]
Gao, Lei [2 ]
Guo, Zhaoxia [1 ]
Dong, Yucheng [1 ]
Moallemi, Enayat A. [3 ]
Xu, Yinfeng [4 ]
Li, Ke [1 ]
Lin, Wenhao [1 ]
Yang, Jing [5 ]
Xu, Weijun [6 ]
Pedercini, Matteo [7 ]
Bryan, Brett A. [8 ]
机构
[1] Sichuan Univ, Business Sch, Chengdu, Peoples R China
[2] Commonwealth Sci & Ind Res Org CSIRO, Waite Campus, Adelaide, SA, Australia
[3] Commonwealth Sci & Ind Res Org CSIRO, Black Mt, ACT 2601, Australia
[4] Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian, Peoples R China
[5] Sichuan Univ, West China Sch Publ Hlth, Chengdu, Peoples R China
[6] South China Univ Technol, Sch Business Adm, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
[7] Millennium Inst, Washington, DC USA
[8] Deakin Univ, Sch Life & Environm Sci, Melbourne, Australia
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
DEVELOPMENT GOALS; PARIS AGREEMENT; SDGS; MODEL; SCENARIOS; POLLUTION; ACHIEVE; POLICY;
D O I
10.1038/s41467-024-53912-z
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Climate mitigation policies have broad environmental and socioeconomic impacts and thus underpin progress towards the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Through national-scale integrated modeling, we explore the spillover effects of China's long-term climate mitigation pathways (CMPs) on achieving all 17 SDGs, and then identify a cost-effective CMP for China with co-benefits for sustainability. Our analysis indicates that the 9 original CMPs and 180 bundled CMPs can both substantially boost the SDGs, resulting in an increase of 6.33-8.86 and 5.90-9.33 points in overall SDG score (0=no progress, 100=full achievement) by 2060, compared to the Reference pathway of 70.75 points, respectively. The identified cost-effective CMP deals with the trade-offs among sustainability, CO2 emissions and mitigation cost, and maximizes the synergies between them. This CMP can inform future directions for China's policy-makers to maximize the potential synergies between carbon neutrality and long-term sustainable development. Climate mitigation have broad effects on achieving Sustainable Development Goals. This paper explores the spillover effects of China's climate mitigation pathways and identify a cost-effective pathway with co-benefits for sustainability.
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页数:12
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