Annealed Mean-Field Epidemiological Model on Scale-Free Networks with a Mitigating Factor

被引:0
|
作者
Kim, K. M. [1 ]
Hase, M. O. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Escola Artes Ciencias & Humanidades, Ave Arlindo Bettio 1000, BR-03828000 Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
关键词
Mathematical modeling in epidemiology; Nonequilibrium statistical physics; Networks; Mean-field theory; RANDOM GRAPHS; DISTRIBUTIONS;
D O I
10.1007/s13538-025-01696-y
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
An annealed version of the quenched mean-field model for epidemic spread is introduced and investigated analytically and assisted by numerical calculations. The interaction between individuals follows a prescription that is used to generate a scale-free network, and we have adjusted the number of connections to produce a sparse network. Specifically, the model's behavior near the infection threshold is examined, as well as the behavior of the stationary prevalence and the probability that a connection between individuals encounters an infected one. We found that these functions display a monotonically increasing dependence on the infection rate. Subsequently, a modification that mimics the mitigation in the probability of encountering an infected individual is introduced, following an old idea rooted in the Malthus-Verhulst model. We found that this modification drastically changes the probability that a connection meets an infected individual. However, despite this change, it does not alter the monotonically increasing behavior of the stationary prevalence.
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页数:10
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