New Evidence of Holocene Faulting Activity and Strike-Slip Rate of the Eastern Segment of the Sunan-Qilian Fault from UAV-Based Photogrammetry and Radiocarbon Dating, NE Tibetan Plateau

The eastern segment of the Sunan-Qilian Fault (ES-SQF) is located within the seismic gap between the 1927 M8.0 Gulang earthquake and the 1932 M7.6 Changma earthquake in China. It also aligns with the extension direction of the largest surface rupture zone associated with the 2022 Mw6.7 Menyuan earthquake. Understanding the activity parameters of this fault is essential for interpreting strain distribution patterns in the central-western segment of the Qilian-Haiyuan fault zone, located along the northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, and for evaluating the seismic hazards in the region. High-resolution Google Earth satellite imagery and UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle)-based photogrammetry provide favorable conditions for detailed mapping and the study of typical landforms along the ES-SQF. Combined with field geological surveys, the ES-SQF is identified as a continuous, singular-fault structure extending approximately 68 km in length. The fault trends in the WNW direction and along its trace, distinctive features, such as ridges, gullies, and terraces, show clear evidence of synchronous left lateral displacement. This study investigates the Qingsha River and the Dongzhong River. High-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) derived from UAV imagery were used to conduct a detailed mapping of faulted landforms. An analysis of stripping trench profiles and radiocarbon dating of collected samples indicates that the most recent surface-rupturing seismic event in the area occurred between 3500 and 2328 y BP, pointing to the existence of an active fault from the Holocene epoch. Using the LaDiCaoz program to restore and measure displaced terraces at the study site, combined with geomorphological sample collection and testing, we estimated the fault's slip rate since the Holocene to be approximately 2.0 +/- 0.3 mm/y. Therefore, the ES-SQF plays a critical role in strain distribution across the central-western segment of the Qilian-Haiyuan fault zone. Together with the Tuolaishan fault, it accommodates and dissipates the left lateral shear deformation in this region. Based on the slip rate and the elapsed time since the last event, it is estimated that a seismic moment equivalent to Mw 7.5 has been accumulated on the ES-SQF. Additionally, with the significant Coulomb stress loading on the ES-SQF caused by the 2016 Mw 5.9 and 2022 Mw 6.7 Menyuan earthquakes, there is a potential for large earthquakes to occur in the future. Our results also indicate that high-resolution remote sensing imagery can facilitate detailed studies of active tectonics.