Multi-model fusion modeling method based on improved Kalman filtering algorithm

被引:0
作者
Zhu, Pengfei [1 ]
Xia, Luyue [1 ]
Pan, Haitian [1 ]
机构
[1] School of Chemical Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, 310032, Zhejiang
来源
Huagong Xuebao/CIESC Journal | 2015年 / 66卷 / 04期
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Hybrid modeling; Improved Kalman filtering; Multi-model fusion; Polymerization; Prediction; Principal component analysis;
D O I
10.11949/j.issn.0438-1157.20141030
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
A multi-model fusion modeling method based on improved Kalman filter algorithm was presented for soft sensor of key quality index or state variable in the polymerization process. First, a data-driven soft-sensor modeling method was proposed by combining mixtures of kernels principal component analysis (K2PCA) with artificial neural network (ANN). Second, a parallel hybrid model was constructed by fusing the data-driven model with a mechanism model through an improved Kalman filtering algorithm. Moreover, a linear smoothing filter and a model variance updating method were adopted for optimizing the hybrid model, which could enhance performance and improve prediction stability of the hybrid model. The application of the proposed multi-model fusion modeling method in the vinyl chloride polymerization rate prediction verified that the hybrid model was more effective in comparison with single-model cases (thermodynamic mechanism model or K2PCA-ANN model). The proposed multi-model fusion modeling method would provide basic conditions for control and optimization of PVC polymerization process in further research. ©, 2015, Chemical Industry Press. All right reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1388 / 1394
页数:6
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