The risk management research on the real estate market of wuhan city of China based on the E-VaR model

被引:0
作者
Huang, Hui [1 ]
Yu, Shihai [1 ]
机构
[1] Economics School, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, Hubei
关键词
E-VaR; EVT; Real estate market; VaR;
D O I
10.4156/jdcta.vol6.issue15.57
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
In recent years, the urbanization and housing system reform in China accelerate the rapid development of real estate market, and then a nationalwide real estate market appears the overheated, bubbling and serious situation. In this paper taking the real estate market of Wuhan as an example, EVaR risk measurement model is used based on EVT and VaR theory to measure the risk of the real estate market, and by the failure rate for testing the correctness of the model. At the same time utilizing the monthly data from January 2001 to December 2010 the empirical analysis is carried, and the results show that the model has strong applicability, for the risk management provides a new research method.
引用
收藏
页码:502 / 509
页数:7
相关论文
共 11 条
  • [1] Jorion P., Value At Risk, (2001)
  • [2] Ruan L.-F., Wen H.-Z., Cui X.-M., Risk analysis of real estate market based of VaR: Empirical research of Hangzhou, China, Journal of Zhejiang University (Engineering Science), 40, 11, pp. 1858-1861, (2006)
  • [3] Wu Y.-H., Risk analysis of real estate market based on VaR: Empirical research on Zhejiang, China, Journal of Changchun Institute of Technology (Social Science Edition), 3, pp. 65-68, (2011)
  • [4] Zhao X.-C., Liu Y.-F., Ye W.-Y., Risk analysis of portfolio investment in Open-end fund based on multivariate Copula-GARCH and semi-parameter estimation, Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, 30, 2, pp. 352-362, (2011)
  • [5] Longin F.M., From value at risk to stress testing: The extreme value approach, Jounal of Banking and Finance, 24, (2000)
  • [6] Bhattacharyya M., Ritolia G., Conditional VaR using EVT - Towards a planned margin scheme, International Review of Financial Analysis, 17, 2, pp. 382-395, (2008)
  • [7] Lin P.-C., Ko P.-C., Portfolio value-at-risk forecasting with GA-based extreme value theory, Expert Systems With Applications, 36, 2, pp. 2503-2512, (2009)
  • [8] Ni L., Hui C., The measurement method of dynamic risk of financial assets based on EVT, Pioneering With Science & Technology Monthly, 4, pp. 37-39, (2009)
  • [9] Jiang H., He J., Zhuang Y., Zhang Y., The Research on Portfolio Risk Measurement Based on FIGARCH-EVT-Copula, Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology (Social Sciences Edition), 14, 1, pp. 44-49, (2012)
  • [10] He W., Li Z., Empirical Research of the Impulse Mechanism of Systematic Risks of REITs on SVAR Model, Advances In Information Sciences and Service Sciences, 3, 8, pp. 16-25, (2011)