Risk-Aware Lane Change and Trajectory Planning for Connected Autonomous Vehicles Based on a Potential Field Model

To enhance the safety of lane changes for connected autonomous vehicles in an intelligent transportation environment, this study draws from potential field theory to analyze variations in the risks that vehicles face under different traffic conditions. The safe minimum vehicle distance is dynamically adjusted, and a comprehensive vehicle risk potential field model is developed. This model systematically quantifies the risks encountered by connected autonomous vehicles during the driving process, providing a more accurate assessment of safety conditions. Subsequently, vehicle motion is decoupled into lateral and longitudinal components within the Frenet coordinate system, with quintic polynomials employed to generate clusters of potential trajectories. To improve computational efficiency, trajectory evaluation metrics are developed based on vehicle dynamics, incorporating factors such as acceleration, jerk, and curvature. An initial filtering process is applied to these trajectories, yielding a refined set of candidates. These candidate trajectories are further assessed using a minimum safety distance model derived from potential field theory, with optimization focusing on safety, comfort, and efficiency. The algorithm is tested in a three-lane curved simulation environment that includes both constant-speed and variable-speed lane change scenarios. Results show that the collision risk between the target vehicle and surrounding vehicles remains below the minimum safety distance threshold throughout the lane change process, ensuring a high level of safety. Furthermore, across various driving conditions, the target vehicle's acceleration, jerk, and trajectory curvature remained well within acceptable limits, demonstrating that the proposed lane change trajectory planning algorithm successfully balances safety, comfort, and smoothness, even in complex traffic environments.