System dynamics model of urban transportation system and its application

被引：0

作者：

Institute of Transportation Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China ^{[1
]}

不详 ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Institute of Transportation Engineering, Tsinghua University

[2] China Academy of Transportation Sciences

来源：

Jiaotong Yunshu Xitong Gongcheng Yu Xinxi J. Transp. Syst. Eng. Inf. Technol. | 2008年 / 3卷 / 83-89期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Intervention policy; Sustainability; System dynamics; Urban transportation system; Vehicle ownership;

D O I：

10.1016/s1570-6672(08)60027-6

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Urban transportation system is a complex system with multiple variables and nonlinear feedback loops and influenced by transportation, social, economical, and environmental factors. Conventional transportation modeling approaches are unsuitable to simulate and evaluate its performance. This paper presents a system dynamics approach based on the cause-and-effect analysis and feedback loop structures. The proposed SD model comprises 7 sub models: population, economic development, number of vehicles, environmental influence, travel demand, transport supply, and traffic congestion. The model runs it! Vensim PLE, software using the data from Dalian, China. The coefficient of the intervention policy nf vehicle ownership is chosen as the control variable for simulation, and the impacts of different policy scenarios on urban development and transportation system are analyzed. It suggests that Dalian should restrict the total number of vehicles to improve the sustainability of transportation system.

引用

页码：83 / 89

页数：6

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