Reprint of: The likelihood ratio test for structural changes in factor models

被引:0
|
作者
Bai, Jushan [1 ]
Duan, Jiangtao [2 ]
Han, Xu [3 ]
机构
[1] Columbia Univ, Dept Econ, New York, NY USA
[2] Xidian Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Xian, Peoples R China
[3] City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Econ & Finance, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
High-dimensional factor models; Structural breaks; LR test; DIMENSIONAL FACTOR MODELS; NUMBER; BREAKS; INFERENCE;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105745
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
A factor model with a break in its factor loadings is observationally equivalent to a model without changes in the loadings but with a change in the variance of its factors. This approach effectively transforms a high-dimensional structural change problem into a low-dimensional problem. This paper considers the likelihood ratio (LR) test for a variance change in the estimated factors. The LR test implicitly explores a special feature of the estimated factors: the pre-break and post-break variances can be a singular matrix under the alternative hypothesis, making the LR test diverging faster and thus more powerful than Wald-type tests. The better power property of the LR test is also confirmed by simulations. We also consider mean changes and multiple breaks. We apply this procedure to the factor modeling of the US employment and study the structural change problem using monthly industry-level data.
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页数:23
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