Spatial Structure of Global Forest Products and Dynamic Evolution of Comparative Advantage -Discussion on the Selection of Cultivating Target of Chinese Forest Products Comparative Advantage

被引：0

作者：

Geng L. ^{[1
]}

Shen W. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing

来源：

Shen, Wenxing | 1600年 / Chinese Society of Forestry卷 / 56期

关键词：

Comparative advantage; Forest products; Product spatial structure; Target selection;

D O I：

10.11707/j.1001-7488.20201120

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Objective: Through the establishment of global forest product space to test whether there is a dynamic correlation between the spatial structural change of global forest products and the dynamic evolution of comparative advantage, this paper attempts to make a preliminary analysis of the cultivation target of China's comparative advantage of forest products from the perspective of microcosmic product. Method: Based on the theory of product spatial structure, the global forest product space was constructed. Using the forest product trade data of 43 major forest product trading countries from 1992 to 2017, the R software was used to measure the proximity between two forest products in 72 forest products, and the heterogeneity structure of global forest product spatial distribution was verified, and a high dimensional panel data model was established to further examine the relationship between the spatial distribution structure of global forest products and the dynamic evolution of comparative advantage of a country's forest products; On this basis, the density of forest products with potential comparative advantage was ranked to choose the cultivation goal of the comparative advantage of China's forest products trade. Result: From the perspective of the spatial composition of global forest products, the wood products and furniture are mainly in dense areas; Non-wood forest products are not found in the top 10 products in the dense area, but in the sparse area, the ten commodities are non-wood forest products except recycled paper and wood pulp products; There is a significant positive correlation between product density and product comparative advantage, which is stable in time series. In the future, the possibility of conversion from forest products in comparative disadvantage to comparative advantage will be gradually reduced from high to low according to the ranking of product density. Conclusion: The distance between two forest products in the global forest product space is not equal, and the global forest product space is heterogeneous and unbalanced; The closer the distance between the forest product with potential comparative advantage and the existing comparative advantage product set, the easier it is to realize the transformation from potential to actual comparative advantage; Ranking the density of forest product comparative disadvantage can guide the trade of forest products for government or competent authorities, combine the comprehensive practice of forest product trade of China and the environmental changes of global forest product trade, and finally achieve the policy objectives through the cultivation of comparative advantage forest products; The spatial structure of global forest products is closely related to the change of comparative advantage of forest products. If the competent authority or policy-making department follow this inherent law to guide the changes in the comparative advantage of its forest products, it would have a better policy effectiveness. © 2020, Editorial Department of Scientia Silvae Sinicae. All right reserved.

引用

页码：187 / 197

页数：10

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