An agent-based decision-making model in emergency evacuation management

Emergency evacuation is the movement of people away the threat in the short time. How to develop decision-making model for emergency response under dynamic conditions, to achieve the emergency evacuation plan has become a key issue. In order to improve decision-making ability of planner, a formalisation of BDIP model has been presented. In this model, the element of prediction has been extended based on the belief, desire and intention. And the accuracy and efficiency of evacuation plan can be improved through the introduction of the predictive ability of decision-maker. Accordingly, this paper indicates the extended axiom, semantics and decision-making behavior and proves the soundness and the completeness of the BDIP model. Corresponding the process and algorithm of decision-making is also given. Finally, the experiment of the decision-making process of emergency evacuation for a chlorine leakage accident is completed to validate this model.