The impact of fuel cell vehicles deployment on road transport greenhouse gas emissions through 2050: Evidence from 15 G20 countries

被引:3
作者
Abdullah, Zulfhazli [1 ,2 ]
Keeley, Alexander Ryota [1 ,3 ]
Coulibaly, Thierry Yerema [1 ]
Managi, Shunsuke [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Kyushu Univ, Dept Urban & Environm Engn, Fukuoka, Japan
[2] Univ Malikussaleh, Dept Civil Engn, Lhokseumawe, Indonesia
[3] Kyushu Univ, Urban Inst, Fukuoka, Japan
关键词
G20; country; Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles; Passenger vehicles; Greenhouse gas emission; Sensitivity analysis; Policy implications; HYDROGEN; ENERGY;
D O I
10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122660
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
As global concern over the negative impacts of global warming, primarily caused by using passenger vehicles (PVs), the transition to hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (HFCVs) is an essential alternative for reducing greenhouse (GHG) emissions. This research employs a bottom-up approach to analyze road vehicle fleet's GHG emissions. We calculated GHG emissions from PVs in 15 Group of Twenty (G20) countries based on four scenarios adopting the global HFCVs from 2024 to 2050. This paper introduces business-as-usual (BaU), moderate, aggressive, and nonHFCVs scenario. The results show that the aggressive scenario has the highest sales, estimated between 62,000 and 29.48 million vehicles by 2050, with global hydrogen market penetration rates 48.48%. Building on countries' respective national strategies, the findings highlight China and India as the leading markets for hydrogen demand, with Germany and Japan also showing significant interest. The aggressive scenario further demonstrates that transitioning from internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to battery electric vehicles (BEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and HFCVs can significantly reduce annual GHG emissions. Ultimately, this study finds that the transition to HFCVs could reduce emissions by up to 67.09% by 2050.
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页数:12
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