Multi-Task Spatial-Temporal Transformer for Multi-Variable Meteorological Forecasting

被引:0
|
作者
Li, Tian-Bao [1 ]
Liu, An-An [1 ]
Song, Dan [1 ]
Li, Wen-Hui [1 ]
Zhang, Jing [1 ]
Wei, Zhi-Qiang [2 ]
Su, Yu-Ting [1 ]
机构
[1] Tianjin Univ, Sch Elect & Informat Engn, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
[2] Ocean Univ China, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Qingdao 266100, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Forecasting; Task analysis; Transformers; Predictive models; Multitasking; Atmospheric modeling; Convolutional neural networks; Meteorological forecasting; multi-task learning; spatial-temporal transformer; CHANGE-POINT DETECTION; TIME-SERIES DATA; SEGMENTATION;
D O I
10.1109/TKDE.2024.3432599
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
This study delves into multi-variable meteorological spatial-temporal prediction, focusing on the simultaneous forecasting of key meteorological parameters such as temperature, wind speed, and atmospheric pressure. The core challenge of this task lies in identifying commonalities across different variables while capturing their unique features and the interactions among them. To address this, we propose a novel multi-task learning framework tailored for multi-variable meteorological forecasting. Our framework integrates a convolutional variable-specific visual representation module and a variable-interactive spatial-temporal inference module. The former extracts distinct variable information independently for each variable, while the latter employs a tri-level attention mechanism across space, time, and variables to uncover both commonalities and interactions among the variables. An adaptive multi-loss optimization strategy and a local information aggregation module are introduced to balance task optimization complexities and enhance representation stability. Comprehensive experiments across various meteorological prediction tasks confirm the effectiveness of our methods, showcasing superior performance over existing approaches.
引用
收藏
页码:8876 / 8888
页数:13
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