New method for grey forecasting model group

被引:0
|
作者
Li, Feng [1 ]
Wang, Zhongdong [1 ]
Song, Zhongmin [2 ]
机构
[1] Dept. of Automat., Huazhong Univ. of Sci. and Technol., Wuhan 430074, China
[2] Dept. of Math., Yantai Univ., Yantai 264025, China
关键词
Economics - Mathematical models - Reliability;
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学科分类号
摘要
In order to describe the characteristics of some systems, such as the process of economic and product forecasting, a lot of discrete data may be used. Although they are discrete, the inside law can be founded by some methods. For a series that the discrete degree is large and the integrated tendency is ascending, a new method for grey forecasting model group is given by the grey system theory. The method is that if firstly transforms original data, chooses some clique values and divides original data into groups by different clique values; then, it establishes non-equigap GM(1,1) model for different groups and searches forecasting area of original data by the solution of model. At the end of the paper, the result of reliability of forecasting value is obtained. It is shown that the method is feasible.
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页码:1 / 7
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