Risk assessment for cascading failures in urban power grids considering the random fluctuation of renewable energy and T-connected lines

被引:0
作者
Guo, Ting [1 ]
Yang, Ziqing [2 ]
Xu, Liangde [1 ]
Hu, Linlin [1 ]
Lin, Shunjiang [2 ]
Liu, Mingbo [2 ]
机构
[1] Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau of Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou
[2] School of Electric Power, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou
来源
Dianli Xitong Baohu yu Kongzhi/Power System Protection and Control | 2024年 / 52卷 / 13期
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
cascading failures; cumulants; mixed-integer nonlinear programming; probabilistic power flow; renewable energy; risk assessment; T-connected lines;
D O I
10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.231610
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Massive penetration of renewable energy brings great challenges to the secure operation and reliable power supply of important users in urban power grids, and it is easy for the random fluctuation of renewable energy power to result in cascading failure risks. A cascading failure risk assessment method for an urban power grid considering the random fluctuation of renewable energy outputs and T-connected line switching in a 110 kV power grid is proposed. The influence of the probability distributions of system states is taken into account in the calculation of the failure probability and consequences, and the probabilistic power flow based on cumulants is used to reflect the relationship of the probability distribution characteristics between the system states and renewable energy outputs. Additionally, a mixed-inter nonlinear optimization model to calculate the minimum load shedding considering the T-connection line switching of 110 kV power grid is established. Minimum load shedding is used to characterize the consequence of cascading failures. By deciding the switching state of each group of T-connection lines under faults, the load shedding in cascading failures can be reduced, and the risk of such failures is effectively decreased. The secure operating range of bus voltage of important user loads is described by chance constraints to ensure that the probability of important user loads without failure meets the given confidence level, so as to ensure the secure and reliable power supply for those users. Finally, the correctness and effectiveness of the proposed cascading failure risk assessment method are demonstrated in an actual urban power grid. © 2024 Power System Protection and Control Press. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:59 / 68
页数:9
相关论文
共 23 条
[1]  
MA Yanfeng, LUO Zerong, ZHAO Shuqaing, Et al., Risk assessment of a power system containing wind power and photovoltaic based on improved Monte Carlo mixed sampling, Power System Protection and Control, 50, 9, pp. 75-83, (2022)
[2]  
TU Jingzhe, HE Jian, AN Xuemin, Et al., Analysis and lessons of Pakistan blackout event on January 23, 2023, Proceedings of the CSEE, 43, 14, pp. 5319-5329, (2023)
[3]  
YAN Daobo, WEN Jinyu, DU Zhi, Et al., Analysis of Texas blackout in 2021 and its enlightenment to power system planning management, Power System Protection and Control, 49, 9, pp. 121-128, (2021)
[4]  
ZHANG Pengfei, MA Changhui, LI Wei, Et al., Analysis of two splitting accidents of European power grid in 2021 and consideration on power grid security in China, Automation of Electric Power Systems, 45, 24, pp. 22-29, (2021)
[5]  
SUN Huadong, XU Tao, GUO Qiang, Et al., Analysis on blackout in great Britain power grid on August 9th, 2019 and its enlightenment to power grid in China, Proceedings of the CSEE, 39, 21, pp. 6183-6192, (2019)
[6]  
YUE Xianlong, WANG Tao, GU Xueping, Et al., Vulnerable line identification of power grid based on self-organizing critical theory, Power System Protection and Control, 44, 15, pp. 18-26, (2016)
[7]  
SU Huiling, LI Yang, Line vulnerability risk analysis based on complex network characteristics of power system, Electric Power Automation Equipment, 34, 2, pp. 101-107, (2014)
[8]  
ZHANG Jingjing, WU Jiayu, QI Xianjun, Et al., Cascading failure analysis and risk assessment of CPPS based on network dependency, Power System Protection and Control, 51, 5, pp. 164-171, (2023)
[9]  
CHENG Lin, LIU Manjun, YI Jun, Et al., The power system cascading outage simulation and vulnerability analysis based on operational reliability model, Power System Technology, 40, 5, pp. 1488-1494, (2016)
[10]  
XU Jian, HE Zhonghao, LIAO Siyang, Et al., Identification of critical branches for cascading failures considering fault voltage ride-through characteristics of wind turbine, Automation of Electric Power Systems, 48, 2, pp. 82-94, (2024)