Soil Emissions of Reactive Oxidized Nitrogen Reduce the Effectiveness of Anthropogenic Source Control in China

Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) has decreased by similar to 33% across over 1200 monitoring sites in China during 2015-2023, following a series of clean air policies. However, most of these sites are located in or near cities, leading to uncertainties in NO2 trends beyond urban regions due to limited observations. Here, we used satellite measurements to examine the differences in NO2 trends between urban and rural China. In urban areas, NO2 columns decreased by 4.0% per annum (a-1) during summer 2011-2023, consistent with bottom-up anthropogenic emission inventory and in situ measurements. In contrast, rural NO2 columns showed a slower than expected reduction (-2.6 to -0.0% a-1) during the same period. Model simulations with updates in the soil reactive oxidized nitrogen (Nr) scheme indicated that increasing soil Nr emissions can be an important factor contributing to the observed slow NO2 decrease in rural areas. This unregulated source increased summertime pollutant levels, partially offsetting the national efforts to mitigate NO2, ozone (O3), and particulate nitrate (NO3 -) levels by 20.9%, 15.4%, and 4.7%, respectively, from 2011 to 2020. In the agriculture-intensive North China Plain, the increase in soil Nr emissions offset 46.6% of the NO2 reductions achieved by clean air policies. Our results highlight the increasing significance of soil emissions and the need to control them in future air-quality policies.