A genetic programming based framework for churn prediction in telecommunication industry

被引:11
作者
Faris, Hossam [1 ]
Al-Shboul, Bashar [2 ]
Ghatasheh, Nazeeh [2 ]
机构
[1] King Abdullah II School for Information Technology, The University of Jordan, Amman
[2] The University of Jordan, Amman
来源
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics) | 2014年 / 8733卷
关键词
Churn prediction; Genetic programming; Self organizing maps; Telecommunication;
D O I
10.1007/978-3-319-11289-3_36
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Customer defection is critically important since it leads to serious business loss. Therefore, investigating methods to identify defecting customers (i.e. churners) has become a priority for telecommunication operators. In this paper, a churn prediction framework is proposed aiming at enhancing the ability to forecast customer churn. The framework combine two heuristic approaches: Self Organizing Maps (SOM) and Genetic Programming (GP). At first, SOM is used to cluster the customers in the dataset, and then remove outliers representing abnormal customer behaviors. After that, GP is used to build an enhanced classification tree. The dataset used for this study contains anonymized real customer information provided by a major local telecom operator in Jordan. Our work shows that using the proposed method surpasses various state-of-the-art classification methods for this particular dataset. © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014.
引用
收藏
页码:353 / 362
页数:9
相关论文
共 26 条
[1]  
Blattberg R.C., Do K.B., Scott N.A., Database Marketing: Analyzing and Managing Customers, International Series in Quantitative Marketing, 18, pp. 607-633, (2008)
[2]  
Owczarczuk M., Churn models for prepaid customers in the cellular telecommunication industry using large data marts, Expert Systems with Applications, 37, pp. 4710-4712, (2010)
[3]  
Kim N., Lee J., Jung K.H., Kim Y.S., A new ensemble model for efficient churn prediction in mobile telecommunication, 2013 46th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, pp. 1023-1029, (2012)
[4]  
Migueis V.L., Van den Poel D., Camanho A.S., Cunha J.F., Modeling partial customer churn: On the value of first product-category purchase sequences, Expert Syst. Appl, 39, pp. 11250-11256, (2012)
[5]  
Migueis V.L., Van den Poel D., Camanho A.S., Cunha J.F., Predicting partial customer churn using markov for discrimination for modeling first purchase sequences, Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, 6, pp. 337-353, (2012)
[6]  
Saha S.K., Ghoshal S.P., Kar R., Mandal D., Cat swarm optimization algorithm for optimal linear phase fir filter design, ISA Transactions, 52, pp. 781-794, (2013)
[7]  
Yazdani D., Nasiri B., Azizi R., Sepas-Moghaddam A., Meybodi M.R., Optimization in dynamic environments utilizing a novel method based on particle swarm optimization, Int'l Journal of Artificial Intelligence, 11, pp. 170-192, (2013)
[8]  
Sheta A., Faris H., Alkasassbeh M., A genetic programming model for s&p 500 stock market prediction, International Journal of Control and Automation, 6, pp. 303-314, (2013)
[9]  
Huang B., Kechadi M.T., Buckley B., Customer churn prediction in telecommunications, Expert Syst. Appl, 39, pp. 1414-1425, (2012)
[10]  
Li G., Deng X., Customer churn prediction of china telecom based on cluster analysis and decision tree algorithm, 315, pp. 319-327, (2012)