The effect of industrial structure on industrial and service employment: Base on the empirical test of 58 countries

被引：0
|
作者：
Ouyang Y. [1 ]
Chen L. [2 ]
Gao J. [3 ]
机构：
[1] International School of Business & Finance, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou
[2] Lingnan College, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou
[3] Statistics School, Renmin University of China, Beijing
来源：
Chen, Langnan (lnscln@mail.sysu.edu.cn) | 1600年 / Systems Engineering Society of China卷 / 36期
关键词：
Employment structure; Industrial structure; Panel smooth transition model; Simulated annealing;
D O I：
10.12011/1000-6788(2016)10-2514-11
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Based on the panel smooth transfer model, this paper uses the panel data of 58 countries in order to make the empirical analysis of industrial structure's impact on industry and services employment though the global optimal method of simulated annealing (SA) and nonlinear least squares regression. The research find that: urbanization is the effective mechanism to realize the employment effect of industrial structure change and it promotes labor come from agriculture to industry by second industry development and industrial agglomeration. Moreover, enterprise scale is the intrinsic effective mechanism to realize the employment effect of service sectors, because enterprise production expansion and competitiveness increasing make employment optimize. There is a positive promoting in the second industry to industry employment and the third industry to service employment, but inter-industry spillover effects of employment is negative. The employment elasticity caused by industrial structure adjustment is quite small and the employment structure cannot match the economic growth. In addition, the developed countries have stay in the mature stage of industrial structure because the employment spillovers are negative and there is a substituent effect between secondary industry and tertiary industry. But the developing countries still in the adjustment stage of industrial structure because the employment spillovers are positive and there still has surplus human resources to achieve industrial and service sector employment "going together". © 2016, Editorial Board of Journal of Systems Engineering Society of China. All right reserved.
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页码：2514 / 2524
页数：10
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