Comparative evaluation of multiscaler drought indices under different climatic conditions in Gujarat state of India

The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), two drought indices, have been compared for interchangeability and reliability under various climatic conditions in Gujarat, India. As the quality of the input is crucial for the accuracy of the index, weather records from surface observatories are preferable over grid and reanalysis data. This study found that on a short timescale (1-3 months), SPEI diagnosed mild and moderate droughts more frequently than SPI, particularly in stations with relatively heavy rainfall. The indices in all timescales at all sites throughout the monsoon months displayed strong positive associations (r > 0.8). The correlation decreases but remains positive as the temporal scale is extended up to 8 months. On a 9-months or longer scales that encompassed active monsoon rainfall months at all stations, correlation coefficients were between 0.8 and 0.9 for all months of the year. During monsoon months, high fractional matches were observed on a short scale. The months after the monsoon show a generalized diagonal pattern of high fractional match with the timescale for all stations. The kappa statistic followed a broad pattern comparable to the match fractions. The instances with poor agreements (R, Match and kappa < 0.3) had proportional bias between the indices. SPEI recognized more drought events at all stations in the short time periods, while the agreements increased with longer time scales. However, SPI detects high intensities in the subhumid.