Load forecasting method based on intrinsic error evaluation

被引：0

作者：

Mu, G. ^{[1
]}

Hou, K. ^{[1
]}

Yang, Y. ^{[1
]}

Hui, Y. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] NE China Inst. of Elec. Power Eng., Jilin 132012, China

来源：

Dianli Xitong Zidonghue/Automation of Electric Power Systems | 2001年 / 25卷 / 22期

关键词：

Error analysis - Improvement;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

A new load forecasting method based on intrinsic error evaluation is proposed. The method is developed on the basis of thoroughly evaluating load regularity and forecast model efficiency, and merges forecast calculation together with error evaluation. By use of the method, it is helpful to improve the accuracy of forecast and to diagnose the main factors resulting in forecasting errors. Load forecasting practices in a real system by the method illustrate that higher forecast accuracy can be produced and high and low error limits can be estimated prior to forecast.

引用

页码：37 / 40