For the understanding of current and future chinate change it is a basic pre requisite to properly understand the mechanisms, which controlled climate change after the Last Ice Age. According to the IPCC 5lh assessment report the Sun has not been a major driver of climate change during the Post-Little Ice Age slow warming, and particularly n°t during the last 40 years. This statement requires critical review as the IPCC neglects strong Paleo-climatologic evidence for the high sensitivity of the climate system to changes in solar activity. This high climate sensitivity is not alone due to variations in total solar irradiance-related direct solar forcing, but also due to additional, so-called indirect solar forcings. These include solar-related chemical-based UV irradiance-related variations in stratospheric temperatures and galactic cosmic ray-related changes in cloud cover and surface temperatures, as well as ocean oscillations, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation that significant affect the clizie. As it is still difficult to quantify the relative contribution of combined direct and indirect solar forcing and of increased atmospheric CO2concen trations to the slow warming of the last 40 years, Predictions about future global warming based delusively on anthropogenic CO2emission scenarios are premature. Nevertheless, the cyclical temperature increase of the 20th century coincided with 'he buildup and culmination of the Grand Solar Maximum that commenced in 1924 and ended in 2008. The anticipated phase of declining solar activity of the coming decades will be a welcome natural laboratory" to clarify and quantify the Present and future role of solar variation in climate change."
机构:
Univ Wisconsin, Dept Math & Stat, La Crosse, WI 54601 USA
Univ Tennessee, Dept Math, Knoxville, TN 37996 USAUniv Wisconsin, Dept Math & Stat, La Crosse, WI 54601 USA
Elzinga, David C.
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Beckford, Charlotte
Strickland, W. Christopher
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Univ Tennessee, Dept Math, Knoxville, TN 37996 USA
Univ Tennessee, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Knoxville, TN 37996 USAUniv Wisconsin, Dept Math & Stat, La Crosse, WI 54601 USA
机构:
Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, State Key Lab Simulat & Regulat Water Cycle River, Beijing 100038, Peoples R ChinaBeijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
Liu, Haijun
Zhang, Ruihao
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Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R ChinaBeijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
Zhang, Ruihao
Li, Yan
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Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R ChinaBeijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
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Univ Nottingham, Resilience Engn Res Grp, Fac Engn, Nottingham, EnglandUniv Nottingham, Resilience Engn Res Grp, Fac Engn, Nottingham, England
Vagnoli, Matteo
Di Maio, Francesco
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Politecn Milan, Dept Energy, Via La Masa 34, I-20156 Milan, ItalyUniv Nottingham, Resilience Engn Res Grp, Fac Engn, Nottingham, England
Di Maio, Francesco
Zio, Enrico
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Politecn Milan, Dept Energy, Via La Masa 34, I-20156 Milan, Italy
Univ Paris Saclay, Fdn Elect France EDF, Cent Supelec, Chatenay Malabry, FranceUniv Nottingham, Resilience Engn Res Grp, Fac Engn, Nottingham, England
机构:
Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Wu, Chunyan
Chen, Dongsheng
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Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chen, Dongsheng
Shen, Jiapeng
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Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Shen, Jiapeng
Sun, Xiaomei
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Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Sun, Xiaomei
Zhang, Shougong
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Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
机构:
Univ Wisconsin, Dept Math & Stat, La Crosse, WI 54601 USA
Univ Tennessee, Dept Math, Knoxville, TN 37996 USAUniv Wisconsin, Dept Math & Stat, La Crosse, WI 54601 USA
Elzinga, David C.
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Beckford, Charlotte
Strickland, W. Christopher
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Univ Tennessee, Dept Math, Knoxville, TN 37996 USA
Univ Tennessee, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Knoxville, TN 37996 USAUniv Wisconsin, Dept Math & Stat, La Crosse, WI 54601 USA
机构:
Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, State Key Lab Simulat & Regulat Water Cycle River, Beijing 100038, Peoples R ChinaBeijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
Liu, Haijun
Zhang, Ruihao
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
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Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R ChinaBeijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
Zhang, Ruihao
Li, Yan
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h-index: 0
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Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R ChinaBeijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
机构:
Univ Nottingham, Resilience Engn Res Grp, Fac Engn, Nottingham, EnglandUniv Nottingham, Resilience Engn Res Grp, Fac Engn, Nottingham, England
Vagnoli, Matteo
Di Maio, Francesco
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h-index: 0
机构:
Politecn Milan, Dept Energy, Via La Masa 34, I-20156 Milan, ItalyUniv Nottingham, Resilience Engn Res Grp, Fac Engn, Nottingham, England
Di Maio, Francesco
Zio, Enrico
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Politecn Milan, Dept Energy, Via La Masa 34, I-20156 Milan, Italy
Univ Paris Saclay, Fdn Elect France EDF, Cent Supelec, Chatenay Malabry, FranceUniv Nottingham, Resilience Engn Res Grp, Fac Engn, Nottingham, England
机构:
Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Wu, Chunyan
Chen, Dongsheng
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h-index: 0
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Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chen, Dongsheng
Shen, Jiapeng
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h-index: 0
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Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Shen, Jiapeng
Sun, Xiaomei
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Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Sun, Xiaomei
Zhang, Shougong
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Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China