Understanding the oscillations of an epidemic due to vaccine hesitancy

被引：0
作者：
Morciglio, Anthony [1 ]
Zia, R.K.P. [2 ,3 ]
Hyman, James M. [4 ]
Jiang, Yi [1 ]
机构：
[1] Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Georgia State University, Atlanta, 30303, GA
[2] Center for Soft Matter and Biological Physics, Department of Physics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, 24061, VA
[3] Department of Physics, University of Houston, Houston, 77204, TX
[4] Department of Mathematics, Tulane University, New Orleans, 70118, LA
来源：
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering | 2024年 / 21卷 / 08期
基金：
美国国家卫生研究院;
关键词：
COVID-19; oscillations; SIS; SIV; vaccination game theory; vaccine hesitancy;
D O I：
10.3934/mbe.2024299
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Vaccine hesitancy threatens to reverse the progress in tackling vaccine-preventable diseases. We used an S IS model with a game theory model for vaccination and parameters from the COVID-19 pandemic to study how vaccine hesitancy impacts epidemic dynamics. The system showed three asymptotic behaviors: total rejection of vaccinations, complete acceptance, and oscillations. With increasing fear of infection, stable endemic states become periodic oscillations. Our results suggest that managing fear of infection relative to vaccination is vital to successful mass vaccinations. © 2024 The Authors(s), licensee AIMS Press.
引用
收藏
页码：6829 / 6846
页数：17
相关论文
共 43 条
  • [1] Ten Threats to Global Health in 2019
  • [2] COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution: the Process
  • [3] Daniel W., Nivet M., Warner J., Podolsky D. K., Early evidence of the effect of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine at one medical center, N. Engl. J. Med, 384, pp. 1962-1963, (2021)
  • [4] COVID Data Tracker
  • [5] Impact of Opening and Closing Decisions by State: A Look at How Social Distancing Measures May Have Inffuenced Trends in COVID-19 Cases and Death
  • [6] Lazarus J. V., Ratzan S. C., Palayew A., Gostin L. O., Larson H. J., Rabin K., Et al., A global survey of potential acceptance of a COVID-19 vaccine, Nat. Med, 27, pp. 225-228, (2021)
  • [7] Murray C. J. L., Piot P., The potential future of the COVID-19 pandemic: Will SARS-CoV-2 become a recurrent seasonal infection?, JAMA, 325, pp. 1249-1250, (2021)
  • [8] McAteer J., Yildirim I., Chahroudi A., The VACCINES Act: Deciphering vaccine hesitancy in the time of COVID-19, Clin. Infect. Dis, 71, pp. 703-705, (2020)
  • [9] Dror A. A., Eisenbach N., Taiber S., Morozov N. G., Mizrachi M., Zigron A., Et al., Vaccine hesitancy: the next challenge in the ffght against COVID-19, Eur. J. Epidemiol, 35, pp. 775-779, (2020)
  • [10] Kwok K. O., Li K. K., Wei W. I., Tang A., Wong S. Y. S., Lee S. S., Inffuenza vaccine uptake, COVID-19 vaccination intention and vaccine hesitancy among nurses: A survey, Int. J. Nurs. Stud, 114, (2021)
12345