Collaborative Optimal Configuration for Integrated Energy System Considering Uncertainties of Demand Response

This paper proposes a method of equipment optimal configuration for an integrated energy system (IES) considering the uncertainties of integrated demand response (IDR). Firstly, in order to improve the efficiency of energy use, the basic structure of IES considering IDR is constructed based on a combined cooling, heating and power system. Then, the aleatory and epistemic uncertainty of IDR are analyzed by the evidence theory, and the load curve under a certain price scheme is optimized by using a credible level constraint. On this basis, a bi-level collaborative planning model considering the optimal configuration and operation strategy of the equipment in IES is established. In the upper level, the equipment selection and capacity allocation are conducted with the goal of minimizing the total planning cost. And in the lower level, the equipment output is optimized with the lowest operation cost as the objective. By comparing the total costs of all tariff schemes, the optimal tariff and equipment allocation scheme is obtained. Finally, the proposed approach is illustrated on an example and the results demonstrate that the optimal allocation results considering the uncertainties of IDR are more resistant to risks. Meanwhile, evidence theory can be used to achieve the unification of probability theory and interval theory. © 2020 Automation of Electric Power Systems Press.