The impact of weather fluctuations and climate shocks on farmers’ welfare: insights from rural Ethiopia

被引：5

作者：

Coromaldi M. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Department of Economics, Niccolò Cusano University, Rome

来源：

International Journal of Environmental Studies | 2020年 / 77卷 / 04期

关键词：

Africa; agriculture; Climate; Ethiopia; shocks; welfare;

D O I：

10.1080/00207233.2019.1695433

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

This paper examines the welfare effect of inter- and intra-seasonal weather shocks using a nationally representative dataset. Results show that both rainfall and maximum temperature variability appear to exert a negative impact on the considered outcomes. Higher between-years average of rainfall implies an increase in income. This impact is nonlinear when the shock is computed over shorter reference periods and is higher in the upper tail of the income distribution. Moreover, small levels of rainfall variability have a positive effect on income, but only up to a certain threshold, after which the effect becomes negative. There is a nonlinear relationship between welfare outcomes and the first two moments of the maximum temperature distribution. Agricultural extension services, access to rural credit and use of sustainable land management practices (SLM) are crucial to mitigating the negative welfare effects. © 2020 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.

引用

页码：619 / 635

页数：16

共 47 条

[1]

Special report: Global warming of 1.5ºC, (2018)

[2]

Cooper T., Arblaster K., Climate Change and the Rural Environment in a European Context: Implications for Land Use and Land Use Policy, (2007)

[3]

Lanfranchi M., Giannetto C., De Pascale A., Economic implications of climate change for agricultural productivity, WSEAS Transactions on Environment and Development, 10, pp. 233-241, (2014)

[4]

Bradshaw B., Dolan A., Smit B., Farm-level adaptation to climatic variability and change: Crop diversification in the Canadian prairies, Climatic Change, 67, 1, pp. 119-141, (2004)

[5]

Wang J., Mendelsohn R., Dinar A., Huang J., How do China’s farmers adapt to climate change, Paper presented at the International Association of Agricultural Economics Conference, (2009)

[6]

Dell M., Jones B.F., Olken B.A., what do we learn from the weather? The new climate-economy literature, Journal of Economic Literature, 52, 3, pp. 740-798, (2014)

[7]

Angrist J.D., Kruegerl A.B., Instrumental variables and the search for identification: From supply and demand to natural experiments, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15, 4, pp. 69-85, (2001)

[8]

Miguel E., Satyanath S., Sergenti E., Economic shocks and civil conflict: An instrumental variables approach, Journal of Political Economy, 112, 4, pp. 725-753, (2004)

[9]

Barrios S., Bertinelli L., Strobl E., Trends in rainfall and economic growth in Africa: A neglected cause of the African growth tragedy, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 92, 2, pp. 350-366, (2010)

[10]

Hsiang S.M., Temperatures and cyclones strongly associated with economic production in the Caribbean and Central America, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107, 35, pp. 15367-15372, (2010)

← 1 2 3 4 5 →