Model based on relevance vector machine and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation for road condition prediction

被引:1
|
作者
Lin H. [1 ,2 ]
Li L.-X. [1 ,2 ]
Wang H. [1 ,2 ]
Ma Z.-Q. [1 ,2 ]
Wan J.-X. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] College of Data Science and Application, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot
[2] Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Engineering and Technology Research Center of Big Data Based Software Service, Hohhot
关键词
Combined kernel function; Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation; Relevance vector machine (RVM); Road condition prediction; Spark;
D O I
10.3785/j.issn.1008-973X.2021.06.007
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
A model based on relevance vector machine and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation was proposed in order to solve the problems of traffic congestion, low road service level, and low efficiency of citizens' travel. Genetic algorithm and particle swarm optimization algorithm were used as the parameter optimization algorithm in order to optimize relevance vector machine with combined kernel functions. Then the parameter optimization algorithm was parallelized by Spark to improve the training efficiency of model. Genetic algorithm and particle swarm optimization based on Spark parallelization were proposed, and combined kernel relevance vector machine (SPGAPSO-CKRVM) was optimized. Traffic flow and traffic speed were predicted by SPGAPSO-CKRVM, and the prediction results were used to calculate three traffic condition evaluation parameters: average speed, road occupancy and traffic density. These three parameters were input into fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model. Weight coefficients of these evaluation parameters in peak hours and normal hours were determined by entropy method. Road condition was divided into six levels. The proposed model was verified with the real data of Whitemud Drive in Canada. The experimental results show that the proposed model has better prediction accuracy and scalability than traditional methods. The accuracy of road condition prediction can reach 90.28%. Copyright ©2021 Journal of Zhejiang University (Engineering Science). All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1072 / 1082
页数:10
相关论文
共 28 条
  • [1] LIN Hao, LI Lei-xiao, WANG Hui, Survey on research and application of support vector machines in intelligent transportation system, Journal of Frontiers of Computer Science and Technology, 14, 6, pp. 901-917, (2020)
  • [2] ZHENG C, LI L., The improvement of the forecasting model of short-term traffic flow based on wavelet and ARMA, Proceedings of 2010 8th International Conference on Supply Chain Management and Information Systems, pp. 1-4, (2011)
  • [3] TAN M C, WONG S C, XU M C, Et al., An aggregation approach to short-term traffic flow prediction, Intelligent Transportation Systems, 10, 1, pp. 60-69, (2009)
  • [4] CAO J, XU G H, HOU L, Et al., Detection and estimation for the traffic flow based on Kalman filter, Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology, 20, 5, pp. 271-275, (2011)
  • [5] CAO C T, XU J M., Short-term traffic flow predication based on PSO-SVM, 1st International Conference on Transportation Engineering, (2007)
  • [6] WEN Jun-feng, LI Xin, ZHANG Lang-wen, Traffic lane saturation prediction with the support vector regression based on particle swarm optimization, Process Automation Instrumentation, 40, 8, pp. 38-42, (2019)
  • [7] FU R, ZHANG Z, LI L., Using LSTM and GRU neural network methods for traffic flow prediction, 31st Youth Academic Annual Conference of Chinese Association of Automation, (2016)
  • [8] LIU Q, WANG B, ZHU Y., Short-term traffic speed forecasting based on attention convolutional neural network for arterials, Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 33, 11, pp. 999-1016, (2018)
  • [9] LIU Y, ZHENG H, FENG X, Et al., Short-term traffic flow prediction with Conv-LSTM, 9th International Conference on Wireless Communications and Signal Processing, (2017)
  • [10] XIN J, XIAO F H., Financial assets price prediction based on relevance vector machine with genetic algorithm, Journal of Convergence Information Technology, 7, 5, pp. 90-96, (2012)