Clinical utility of the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) in biopsy-confirmed coeliac disease

Background: People with coeliac disease (CD) are at increased risk of osteoporosis and fractures. Currently, baseline dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is recommended for all patients with newly diagnosed CD. We aimed to determine the prevalence of osteoporosis and the clinical utility of the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) in predicting major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) in patients with biopsy-proven CD. Methods: We retrospectively collected data for consecutive adult patients with biopsy-proven CD between 2001 and 2015 who underwent DXA scanning within 1 year of diagnosis and were followed up for a minimum of 7 years. Fracture risk was assessed using FRAX scores, and the incidence of major osteoporotic fractures during the follow-up period was analysed. Results: A total of 593 patients (median age 45.0 years, 68.5% female) were included. The prevalence of osteopenia and osteoporosis were 32.3% and 14.5%, respectively. Increasing age (OR 1.06, p < .0001), decreasing BMI (OR 0.90, p = .003), and higher baseline immunoglobulin A-tissue tissue transglutaminase titre (OR 1.04, p = .03) were significantly associated with increased risk of osteoporosis. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of the FRAX tool to predict MOF were 21.2%, 91.3%, 16.3%, 93.5%, respectively. A higher risk of fractures was associated with ongoing gluten exposure (OR 1.86, p = .02), previous fractures (OR 2.69, p = .005), and older age (OR 1.03, p < .0001). Conclusion: Osteoporosis is a common finding in patients with CD. The FRAX tool showed high specificity in predicting osteoporotic fractures and could be used to aid with patient selection for DXA scanning in some cases.