Central bank communication;
Stock-bond correlation;
Textual analysis;
DCC-MIDAS-X;
MACROECONOMIC DETERMINANTS;
US STOCK;
MARKETS;
VOLATILITIES;
COMOVEMENT;
MODEL;
D O I:
10.1016/j.frl.2024.105893
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
In this paper, we extend the traditional DCC-MIDAS-X model by incorporating the central bank communication sentiment indicator to examine its effect on the long-term correlations between stock and bond returns. Our results show that positive central bank communication can reduce stock-bond correlation. The effect changes over time depending on the state of the economy, which is significant during upturns but not noticeable during recessions.
机构:
Univ N Carolina, Kenan Flagler Business Sch, Div Finance, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USAUniv N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
Colacito, Riccardo
;
Engle, Robert F.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
NYU, Stern Sch Business, Dept Finance, New York, NY 10003 USAUniv N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
Engle, Robert F.
;
Ghysels, Eric
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
Univ N Carolina, Kenan Flagler Business Sch, Div Finance, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USAUniv N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
机构:
Univ N Carolina, Kenan Flagler Business Sch, Div Finance, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USAUniv N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
Colacito, Riccardo
;
Engle, Robert F.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
NYU, Stern Sch Business, Dept Finance, New York, NY 10003 USAUniv N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
Engle, Robert F.
;
Ghysels, Eric
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
Univ N Carolina, Kenan Flagler Business Sch, Div Finance, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USAUniv N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA