Population-level 5-year event-free survival for children with cancer in Australia

BackgroundEvent-free survival (EFS) considers other adverse events in addition to mortality. It therefore provides a more complete understanding of the effectiveness and consequences of treatment than standard survival measures, but is rarely reported at the population level for childhood cancer.ProcedureOur study cohort (n = 7067) was obtained from the Australian Childhood Cancer Registry, including children aged under 15 diagnosed with cancer between 2006 and 2015, with follow-up potentially available to 31 December 2020. The events of interest were relapse following remission, progressive disease, diagnosis of a second primary cancer or death from any cause. Five-year EFS and all-cause observed survival were both calculated, stratified by type of childhood cancer, remoteness of residence and stage at diagnosis. Differences in EFS were assessed using multivariable flexible parametric models.ResultsApproximately one quarter of patients (n = 1605 of 7067, 23%) experienced at least one of the events of interest within 5 years of diagnosis. Relapse was twice as common for children with metastatic/advanced disease (22%) versus children with localised/limited cancers (11%). Overall 5-year EFS was 75.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 73.9%-76.0%), compared to 85.8% observed survival (95% CI: 85.0%-86.6%). Patients with other gliomas had the lowest EFS (35.4%, 95% CI: 27.8%-43.1%). EFS was significantly lower among children with acute myeloid leukaemia in outer regional/remote areas compared to major cities (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.20-3.00).ConclusionsReporting EFS at a population level provides further insight on a wider range of impacts apart from mortality alone, contributing towards efforts to improve the management and outcomes of childhood cancer.