Optimal control of a fractional-order monkeypox epidemic model with vaccination and rodents culling

被引:10
作者
Musafir, Raqqasyi R. [1 ]
Suryanto, Agus [1 ]
Darti, Isnani [1 ]
Trisilowati [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Brawijaya, Fac Math & Nat Sci, Dept Math, Jl Veteran Malang, Malang 65145, Indonesia
来源
RESULTS IN CONTROL AND OPTIMIZATION | 2024年 / 14卷
关键词
Optimal control; Fractional-order model; Monkeypox model; Vaccination; Rodents culling; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1016/j.rico.2024.100381
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
In this study, a fractional-order monkeypox epidemic model with different memory effects between humans and rodents is considered. The proposed model involves six classes of human populations (susceptible, exposed, infected, quarantined, hospitalized, and recovered) and three classes of rodent populations (susceptible, exposed, and infected). The equilibrium points of the model are disease-free, human-endemic, and endemic. The model has basic reproduction numbers of humans and rodents denoted R-0h and R-0r, respectively. The disease-free equilibrium always exists and is locally asymptotically stable if max {R-0h,R-0r} <1. The human-endemic equilibrium point exists and is locally asymptotically stable if R-0r<1. The endemic equilibrium point exists and is locally asymptotically stable if R-0r>1. This research aims to study the optimal control of the model with vaccination and culling. We have applied the vaccination control to the human population and the culling control to the rodent population. The optimal control is obtained by minimizing the number of infected humans, the number of infected rodents, and the implementation cost of the controls. This minimization problem has been solved analytically using the modified Pontryagin's minimum principle. We have performed the numerical simulation of optimal control by implementing the modified forward-backward sweep method and setting three strategies: vaccination, culling, and both controls. Based on numerical simulations, the optimal control of both controls is generally the best strategy, followed by culling only and vaccination only, respectively.
引用
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页数:16
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