We develop two alternate approaches to arbitrage-free, market-complete, option pricing. The first approach requires no riskless asset. We develop the general framework for this approach and illustrate it with two specific examples. The second approach does use a riskless asset. However, by ensuring equality between real-world and risk-neutral price-change probabilities, the second approach enables the computation of risk-neutral option prices utilizing expectations under the natural world probability P\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${\mathbb{P}}$$\end{document}. This produces the same option prices as the classical approach in which prices are computed under the risk neutral measure Q\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${\mathbb{Q}}$$\end{document}. The second approach and the two specific examples of the first approach require the introduction of new, marketable asset types, specifically perpetual derivatives of a stock, and a stock whose cumulative return (rather than price) is deflated. These two asset types are designed specifically for hedgers who don't have access to sovereign riskless rates or may be hesitant to utilize interbank rates such as SOFR.
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Xiamen Univ, Sch Econ, Dept Finance, Xiamen, Peoples R China
Xiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ WISE, Xiamen, Peoples R ChinaXiamen Univ, Sch Econ, Dept Finance, Xiamen, Peoples R China
Tong, Chen
Hansen, Peter Reinhard
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Univ N Carolina, Dept Econ, 300 Gardner Hall, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
Copenhagen Business Sch, Dept Finance, Frederiksberg, DenmarkXiamen Univ, Sch Econ, Dept Finance, Xiamen, Peoples R China
Hansen, Peter Reinhard
Huang, Zhuo
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Peking Univ, Natl Sch Dev, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaXiamen Univ, Sch Econ, Dept Finance, Xiamen, Peoples R China
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Univ Piemonte Orientale, Dipartimento Sci & Innovaz Tecnol, Via T Michel 11, I-15121 Alessandria, ItalyUniv Piemonte Orientale, Dipartimento Sci & Innovaz Tecnol, Via T Michel 11, I-15121 Alessandria, Italy
Scalas, Enrico
Politi, Mauro
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Basque Ctr Appl Math, BCAM, Bilbao 48009, Basque Country, SpainUniv Piemonte Orientale, Dipartimento Sci & Innovaz Tecnol, Via T Michel 11, I-15121 Alessandria, Italy