Comparative effectiveness of bivalent BA.4-5 or BA.1 mRNA booster vaccines among immunocompromised individuals across three Nordic countries: A nationwide cohort study

Objectives: To estimate the effectiveness and waning of the bivalent BA.4-5 or BA.1 mRNA booster vaccine against Covid-19-related hospitalization and death in immunocompromised individuals. Methods: Nationwide analyses across Nordic countries from 1 September 2022 to 31 October 2023 using a matched cohort design. Individuals boosted with a BA.4-5 or BA.1 vaccine were matched 1:1 with unboosted individuals. The outcomes of interest were country-combined vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates against Covid-19-related hospitalization and death at day 270 of follow-up. Waning was assessed in 45-day intervals. Results: A total of 352,762 BA.4-5 and 191,070 BA.1 booster vaccine doses were included. At day 270, the comparative VE against Covid-19-related hospitalization was 34.2% (95% CI, 7.1% to 61.3%) for the bivalent BA.4-5 vaccine and 42.6% (95% CI, 31.3% to 53.9%) for the BA.1 vaccine compared with matched unboosted. The comparative VE against Covid-19-related death was 53.9% (95% CI, 38.6% to 69.3%) for the bivalent BA.4-5 vaccine and 57.9% (95% CI, 48.5% to 67.4%) for the BA.1 vaccine. Conclusions: In immunocompromised individuals, vaccination with bivalent BA.4-5 or BA.1 booster lowered the risk of Covid-19-related hospitalization and death over a follow-up period of 9 months. The effectiveness was highest during the first months since vaccination with subsequent gradual waning. (c) 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of The British Infection Association. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).