Metabolomic Profiling of Breast Cancer Patients Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Predicting Disease-Free and Overall Survival

Breast cancer (BC) remains a significant global health concern, with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) offering preoperative benefits like tumor downstaging and treatment response assessment. However, identifying factors influencing post-NACT treatment response and survival outcomes is challenging. Metabolomic approaches offer promising insights into understanding these outcomes. This study analyzed the serum of 80 BC patients before and after NACT, followed for up to five years, correlating with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Using untargeted nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy and a novel statistical model that avoids collinearity issues, we identified metabolic changes associated with survival outcomes. Four metabolites (histidine, lactate, serine, and taurine) were significantly associated with DFS. We developed a metabolite-related survival score (MRSS) from these metabolites, stratifying patients into low- and high-risk relapse groups, independent of classical prognostic factors. High-risk patients had a hazard ratio (HR) for DFS of 3.42 (95% CI 1.51-7.74; p = 0.003) after adjustment for disease stage and age. A similar trend was observed for OS (HR of 3.34, 95% CI 1.64-6.80; p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis confirmed the independent prognostic value of the MRSS. Our findings suggest the potential of metabolomic data, alongside traditional markers, in guiding personalized treatment decisions and risk stratification in BC patients undergoing NACT. This study provides a methodological framework for leveraging metabolomics in survival analyses.