Probabilistic approach to risk processes with level-dependent premium rate

被引:0
作者
Denisov, Denis [1 ]
Gotthardt, Niklas [2 ]
Korshunov, Dmitry [3 ]
Wachtel, Vitali [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Manchester, Manchester, England
[2] Augsburg Univ, Augsburg, Germany
[3] Univ Lancaster, Lancaster, England
[4] Bielefeld Univ, Bielefeld, Germany
关键词
Risk process; Cram & eacute; r-Lundberg model; Level-dependent premium rate; Heavy-tailed ruin probability; Transient Markov chain; Down-crossing probabilities; MARKOV-CHAINS; MODELS; QUEUES;
D O I
10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.06.002
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We study risk processes with level dependent premium rate. Assuming that the premium rate converges, as the risk reserve increases, to the critical value in the net-profit condition, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the ruin probability; our proving technique is purely probabilistic and based on the analysis of Markov chains with asymptotically zero drift. We show that such risk processes give rise to heavy-tailed ruin probabilities whatever the distribution of the claim size, even if it is a bounded random variable. So, the risk processes with near critical premium rate provide an important example of a stochastic model where light-tailed input produces heavy-tailed output.
引用
收藏
页码:142 / 156
页数:15
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