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Probabilistic approach to risk processes with level-dependent premium rate
被引:0
作者:
Denisov, Denis
[1
]
Gotthardt, Niklas
[2
]
Korshunov, Dmitry
[3
]
Wachtel, Vitali
[4
]
机构:
[1] Univ Manchester, Manchester, England
[2] Augsburg Univ, Augsburg, Germany
[3] Univ Lancaster, Lancaster, England
[4] Bielefeld Univ, Bielefeld, Germany
关键词:
Risk process;
Cram & eacute;
r-Lundberg model;
Level-dependent premium rate;
Heavy-tailed ruin probability;
Transient Markov chain;
Down-crossing probabilities;
MARKOV-CHAINS;
MODELS;
QUEUES;
D O I:
10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.06.002
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
We study risk processes with level dependent premium rate. Assuming that the premium rate converges, as the risk reserve increases, to the critical value in the net-profit condition, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the ruin probability; our proving technique is purely probabilistic and based on the analysis of Markov chains with asymptotically zero drift. We show that such risk processes give rise to heavy-tailed ruin probabilities whatever the distribution of the claim size, even if it is a bounded random variable. So, the risk processes with near critical premium rate provide an important example of a stochastic model where light-tailed input produces heavy-tailed output.
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页码:142 / 156
页数:15
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