Global warming's grip on agriculture: Strategies for sustainable production amidst climate change using regression based prediction

被引:2
作者
Zhang, Chengping [1 ]
Lyu, Chengzhi [2 ]
Hao, Tang [3 ]
Liu, Jinru [3 ]
Sarhan, Nadia [4 ]
Awwad, Emad Mahrous [5 ]
Ghadi, Yazeed Yasin [6 ]
机构
[1] Hainan Vocat Univ Sci & Technol, Mech & Elect Engn Coll, Haikou 571126, Peoples R China
[2] Hubei Univ Automot Technol, Hubei, Hubei, Peoples R China
[3] Hainan Univ, Sch Informat & Commun Engn, Haikou, Hainan, Peoples R China
[4] King Saud Univ, Dept Quantitat Anal, Coll Business Adm, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[5] King Saud Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Coll Engn, POB 800, Riyadh 11421, Saudi Arabia
[6] Al Ain Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Software Engn, Abu Dhabi 12555, U Arab Emirates
来源
EMIRATES JOURNAL OF FOOD AND AGRICULTURE | 2024年 / 36卷
关键词
Food Production; Deep Learning; Climate Change; Food Resources; SEA-LEVEL RISE; RESPONSES; IMPACTS; GROWTH;
D O I
10.3897/ejfa.2024.125630
中图分类号
S3 [农学(农艺学)];
学科分类号
0901 ;
摘要
The intersection of climate change and food production is emerging as a critical area of research, focusing on both the potential benefits and the significant challenges posed by changing climate conditions. Elevated levels of carbon dioxide alongside rising global temperatures could theoretically boost crop yields, benefiting both human and animal consumption. This study examines the impact of various climate variables-temperature, humidity, precipitation, and soil moisture-on the primary production of essential foods such as rice, wheat, livestock, milk, eggs, vegetables, and fruits. Utilizing data from different countries spanning from 2000 to 2020, drawn from world development indicators, this research employs econometric analysis coupled with deep learning-based cluster analysis. Additionally, it projects future production trends up to 2100 using the moving average time series forecasting method. The findings reveal a direct correlation between climate variables and the production levels of vegetables and other food items, highlighting the immediate effects of climatic changes on agriculture. The study also points out the uneven distribution of these climate impacts, with developing countries facing more severe challenges due to their limited resources and adaptive capacities. This uneven impact contributes to increased uncertainty in food supply and affects market stability. Furthermore, concerns about food safety are intensifying under the influence of climate change, although some regions have implemented effective food conservation and control measures to mitigate these risks. This research underscores a complex landscape where the risks and benefits of climate change on food production are not uniformly distributed, but rather are influenced by a myriad of factors including geographic location, economic conditions, and the level of technological advancement in food safety practices. The nuanced understanding of these dynamics is crucial for developing targeted strategies to enhance food security in the face of a changing climate.
引用
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页数:10
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