A spatio-temporal predictive learning model for efficient sea surface temperature forecasting

被引:2
作者
Wang, Shaoping [1 ]
Han, Ren [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Shanghai Sci & Technol, Sch Opt Elect & Comp Engn, Shanghai 200093, Peoples R China
基金
美国海洋和大气管理局;
关键词
Sea surface temperature; Sea surface temperature prediction; Spatio-temporal model; Spatio-temporal predictive learning; OCEAN; NETWORK;
D O I
10.1007/s00382-024-07348-2
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Sea surface temperature (SST) significantly influences the dynamics of the global climate system, impacting climate change, marine ecosystems, and marine engineering. Traditional SST prediction methods, such as time series and machine learning models, often focus solely on temporal features and neglect spatial distribution patterns. In contrast, current deep learning techniques typically limit predictions to short-term periods. This paper introduces a novel SST prediction model that integrates both temporal and spatial dimensions, employing parallel prediction and a spatio-temporal attention mechanism to enhance accuracy. The model achieves long-term SST forecasting, significantly reduces the parameter count and computational effort, and maintains high prediction precision. Experiments in the El Ni & ntilde;o 3.4 region and the East China Sea show that this method outperforms existing deep learning approaches, accurately predicting SST over periods ranging from 7 to 60 days with superior efficiency and accuracy. Overall, this work presents an effective new approach for SST prediction with crucial implications for climate change research, marine ecosystems, and marine engineering.
引用
收藏
页码:8553 / 8571
页数:19
相关论文
共 53 条
[1]   Prediction of daily sea surface temperature using artificial neural networks [J].
Aparna, S. G. ;
D'Souza, Selrina ;
Arjun, N. B. .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING, 2018, 39 (12) :4214-4231
[2]  
Chang Z, 2021, ADV NEUR IN, V34
[3]  
Cheng L., 2021, Upper Ocean Temperatures Hit Record High in 2020
[4]   How fast are the oceans warming? [J].
Cheng, Lijing ;
Abraham, John ;
Hausfather, Zeke ;
Trenberth, Kevin E. .
SCIENCE, 2019, 363 (6423) :128-129
[5]   Observed and simulated full-depth ocean heat-content changes for 1970-2005 [J].
Cheng, Lijing ;
Trenberth, Kevin E. ;
Palmer, Matthew D. ;
Zhu, Jiang ;
Abraham, John P. .
OCEAN SCIENCE, 2016, 12 (04) :925-935
[6]   SUPPORT-VECTOR NETWORKS [J].
CORTES, C ;
VAPNIK, V .
MACHINE LEARNING, 1995, 20 (03) :273-297
[7]   Scaling Up Your Kernels to 31x31: Revisiting Large Kernel Design in CNNs [J].
Ding, Xiaohan ;
Zhang, Xiangyu ;
Han, Jungong ;
Ding, Guiguang .
2022 IEEE/CVF CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER VISION AND PATTERN RECOGNITION (CVPR), 2022, :11953-11965
[8]   Recurrent Spatial-Temporal Attention Network for Action Recognition in Videos [J].
Du, Wenbin ;
Wang, Yali ;
Qiao, Yu .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON IMAGE PROCESSING, 2018, 27 (03) :1347-1360
[9]  
England MH, 2014, NAT CLIM CHANGE, V4, P222, DOI [10.1038/nclimate2106, 10.1038/NCLIMATE2106]
[10]   Predicting the Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Diurnal Cycle Amplitude Using an Improved XGBoost Algorithm [J].
Feng, Yueling ;
Gao, Zhen ;
Xiao, Heng ;
Yang, Xiaodan ;
Song, Zhenya .
JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING, 2022, 10 (11)