Deep neural network for the prediction of KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF genotypes in left-sided colorectal cancer based on histopathologic images

Background: The KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF genotypes are critical for selecting targeted therapies for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Here, we aimed to develop a deep learning model that utilizes pathologic whole-slide images (WSIs) to accurately predict the status of KRAS, NRAS, and BRAFV600E. Methods: 129 patients with left-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer from the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yatsen University were assigned to the training and testing cohorts. Utilizing three convolutional neural networks (ResNet18, ResNet50, and Inception v3), we extracted 206 pathological features from H&E-stained WSIs, serving as the foundation for constructing specific pathological models. A clinical feature model was then developed, with carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) identified through comprehensive multiple regression analysis as the key biomarker. Subsequently, these two models were combined to create a clinical-pathological integrated model, resulting in a total of three genetic prediction models. Result: 103 patients were evaluated in the training cohort (1782,302 image tiles), while the remaining 26 patients were enrolled in the testing cohort (489,481 image tiles). Compared with the clinical model and the pathology model, the combined model which incorporated CEA levels and pathological signatures, showed increased predictive ability, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.96 in the training and an AUC of 0.83 in the testing cohort, accompanied by a high positive predictive value (PPV 0.92). Conclusion: The combined model demonstrated a considerable ability to accurately predict the status of KRAS, NRAS, and BRAFV600E in patients with left-sided colorectal cancer, with potential application to assist doctors in developing targeted treatment strategies for mCRC patients, and effectively identifying mutations and eliminating the need for confirmatory genetic testing.