Private signals and fast product adoption under incomplete information
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作者:
Arieli, Itai
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机构:
Technion Israel Inst Technol, Fac Data & Decis Sci, IL-3200003 Haifa, IsraelTechnion Israel Inst Technol, Fac Data & Decis Sci, IL-3200003 Haifa, Israel
Arieli, Itai
[1
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Arigapudi, Srinivas
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Indian Inst Technol Kanpur, Dept Econ Sci, Kanpur, IndiaTechnion Israel Inst Technol, Fac Data & Decis Sci, IL-3200003 Haifa, Israel
Arigapudi, Srinivas
[2
]
机构:
[1] Technion Israel Inst Technol, Fac Data & Decis Sci, IL-3200003 Haifa, Israel
[2] Indian Inst Technol Kanpur, Dept Econ Sci, Kanpur, India
This paper investigates the dynamics of product adoption under incomplete information regarding the product quality. A new agent observes a small sample of product choices within the population and receives a noisy private signal regarding the realized state of the world. Using simple heuristics, the agent estimates both the product quality and the distribution of product choices in the population. The agent then chooses a product that is a best response to this estimate. We show that fast adoption of the optimal product in the population occurs if and only if the strength of the private signal exceeds a certain threshold.
机构:
IST Austria, A-3400 Klosterneuburg, AustriaIST Austria, A-3400 Klosterneuburg, Austria
Hilbe, Christian
Schmid, Laura
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IST Austria, A-3400 Klosterneuburg, AustriaIST Austria, A-3400 Klosterneuburg, Austria
Schmid, Laura
Tkadlec, Josef
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IST Austria, A-3400 Klosterneuburg, AustriaIST Austria, A-3400 Klosterneuburg, Austria
Tkadlec, Josef
Chatterjee, Krishnendu
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IST Austria, A-3400 Klosterneuburg, AustriaIST Austria, A-3400 Klosterneuburg, Austria
Chatterjee, Krishnendu
Nowak, Martin A.
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机构:
Harvard Univ, Program Evolutionary Dynam, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
Harvard Univ, Dept Organism & Evolutionary Biol, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
Harvard Univ, Dept Math, Cambridge, MA 02138 USAIST Austria, A-3400 Klosterneuburg, Austria
机构:
Sun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Philosophy, Inst Log & Cognit, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R ChinaSun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Philosophy, Inst Log & Cognit, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China
Liu, Hailin
Xiong, Wei
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机构:
Sun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Philosophy, Inst Log & Cognit, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R ChinaSun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Philosophy, Inst Log & Cognit, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China
机构:
Qufu Normal Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Qufu, Shandong, Peoples R China
Guangzhou Univ, Inst Artificial Intelligence & Blockchain, Guangzhou, Peoples R ChinaQufu Normal Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Qufu, Shandong, Peoples R China
Wang, Yilei
Bracciali, Andrea
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机构:
Univ Stirling, Comp Sci & Math, Stirling, ScotlandQufu Normal Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Qufu, Shandong, Peoples R China
Bracciali, Andrea
Yang, Guoyu
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机构:
Qufu Normal Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Qufu, Shandong, Peoples R ChinaQufu Normal Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Qufu, Shandong, Peoples R China
Yang, Guoyu
Li, Tao
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机构:
Qufu Normal Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Qufu, Shandong, Peoples R China
Guizhou Univ, State Key Lab Publ Big Data, Guiyang, Guizhou, Peoples R China
Guizhou Univ, Coll Comp Sci & Technol, Guiyang, Guizhou, Peoples R ChinaQufu Normal Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Qufu, Shandong, Peoples R China
Li, Tao
Yu, Xiaomei
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机构:
Shandong Normal Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Jinan, Shandong, Peoples R ChinaQufu Normal Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Qufu, Shandong, Peoples R China