The impact of the Indonesia-OIC countries' free trade agreement on the halal food sector: CGE analysis

被引:2
|
作者
Muchtar, Masruri [1 ]
Rodoni, Ahmad [2 ]
Amalia, Euis [2 ]
Warninda, Titi Dewi
机构
[1] Polytech State Finance STAN, Dept State Financial Management, Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia
[2] Univ Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta, Islamic Econ Dept, Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia
关键词
Computable general equilibrium; Free trade; Halal food; Preferential tariff; LIBERALIZATION;
D O I
10.1108/JIMA-03-2023-0075
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Purpose This study aims to analyse the potential impacts of free trade agreement (FTA) between Indonesia and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) countries by eliminating import tariffs in the halal food sector on welfare, gross domestic product (GDP) and trade balance. OIC countries as the second-largest organisation after the United Nations are the potential markets for the halal food industry. Design/methodology/approach This study used the Global Trade Analysis Project database version 10 by adopting a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for two scenarios. The first scenario stated that Indonesia should conduct an FTA with ten potential OIC countries as export destination, while the second one stated that it should be conducted with all OIC countries. Findings Indonesia is predicted to get the highest increase in welfare by making an FTA with all OIC countries. Scenario 2 showed that Indonesia had much higher changes in real GDP with a positive change of 0.0018%. Even though it is projected to experience a surplus in the trade balance in both scenarios, Indonesia is predicted to experience a decline in exports for the particular halal food sector. The findings contribute some new insights to the existing literature, revealing an alignment between economic integration and the concept of international trade in Islam. Research limitations/implications The limitation of this study is the available data that cannot describe the population of all OIC countries. Only 31 countries out of a total of 56 OIC countries can be used in research. The scope of research is limited to analysing FTAs between Indonesia and OIC countries in the form of abolishing import tariffs and does not include non-tariff barrier issues such as halal certification. Practical implications The preferential trade agreement is considered relevant as Indonesia's initial commitment to conduct a bilateral trade with ten selected OIC countries. The Indonesia Government, however, still needs to make several mitigation efforts in various sectors experiencing losses as a result of economic integration, such as by creating a more conducive business climate, supporting the sources of capital, facilitating bureaucratic affairs, as well as providing tax incentives. Originality/value This paper contributes to the literature by focusing on the critical aspects of the FTA's impacts on halal food sectors by optimizing the reduction of import tariffs of OIC countries. Different from previous studies, this study applied a static CGE model to examine the impacts of FTA on macroeconomic indicators.
引用
收藏
页码:428 / 446
页数:19
相关论文
共 3 条
  • [1] Does a Free Trade Agreement's Impact on the Export of Halal Food to OIC Countries Matter? Evidence from Indonesia
    Muchtar, Masruri
    Asy'ari, Hafid
    Rodoni, Ahmad
    Amalia, Euis
    Hosen, Muhamad Nadratuzzaman
    ETIKONOMI, 2024, 23 (01): : 147 - 166
  • [2] Gravity model of trade approach: what drives Indonesia's seafood export and its halal market potency in OIC (Organization of Islamic Cooperation) countries
    Herianingrum, Sri
    Nur, Muhammad Alan
    Rusgianto, Sulistya
    Hapsari, Meri Indri
    Ergun, Huseyin
    Firmansyah, Firmansyah
    Febriyanti, Annisa Rahma
    JOURNAL OF ISLAMIC MARKETING, 2024, 15 (08) : 2016 - 2035
  • [3] Analysis of bilateral trade liberalization and South Asian Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) on Pakistan's economy by using CGE model
    Shaikh, Faiz M.
    JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE LAW AND POLICY, 2009, 8 (03) : 227 - +