Comparison of immunochemotherapy followed by surgery or chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell cancer

Background: Several studies have shown that the survival outcomes of chemoradiotherapy (CRT) are not inferior to surgery alone in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This study aimed to compare survival outcomes of ESCC treated with immunochemotherapy (ICT) followed by surgery or definitive CRT and to explore subgroups of patients who could benefit from one treatment strategy. Methods: Pooled data were obtained from two prospectively registered clinical trials of patients with ESCC at the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. One trial involved treatment with neoadjuvant ICT followed by surgery, while the other involved induction ICT followed by definitive CRT. To balance potential biases, we conducted an overlap weighting (OW) analysis to compare the rates of 2-year progression-free survival (PFS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS), distant relapse-free survival (DRFS), and overall survival (OS). Additionally, propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to analyze failure pattern. Results: The median follow-up time of the survivors was 39.3 months. After overlap weighting, the rates of 2-year PFS, LRRFS, DRFS, and OS for patients undergoing surgery and CRT were 61.5% and 59.7%, 67.2% and 69.9%, 81.3 % and 90.7 %, 84.6 % and 79.1 %, respectively (P>.05 for all). A trend for improved 2-year OS was observed in the surgery group in patients who did not respond to ICT (P=.07). =.07). Conclusion: The differences in the rates of 2-year PFS, LRRFS, DRFS, and OS between the surgery group and the chemoradiotherapy group did not reach statistical significance.