Impact of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and fibrosis on mortality and kidney outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease: A multi-cohort longitudinal study

Aim: To evaluate the impact of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) presence and fibrosis risk on adverse outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Methods: Data were sourced from two longitudinal cohorts: 1172 patients from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and 326 patients from the kidney biopsy cohort at the West China Hospital of Sichuan University. Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for NAFLD and liver fibrosis concerning adverse clinical outcomes. Subsequently, a two-sample Mendelian randomization study using genome-wide association study statistics explored NAFLD's potential causal link to cardio-cerebrovascular events. Results: In the NHANES cohort, NAFLD stood as an independent risk factor for various outcomes: overall mortality [HR 1.53 (95% confidence interval, CI 1.21-1.95)], mortality because of cardio-cerebrovascular diseases [HR 1.63 (95% CI 1.12-2.37)], heart disease [HR 1.58 (95% CI 1.00-2.49)], and cerebrovascular disease [HR 3.95 (95% CI 1.48-10.55)]. Notably, advanced liver fibrosis, identified by a fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score >2.67, exhibited associations with overall mortality, cardio-cerebrovascular disease mortality and heart disease mortality. Within the kidney biopsy cohort, NAFLD correlated with future end-stage kidney disease [ESKD; HR 2.17 (95% CI 1.41-3.34)], while elevated FIB-4 or NAFLD Fibrosis Scores predicted future ESKD, following full adjustment. Liver fibrosis was positively correlated with renal interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy in biopsies. Further Mendelian randomization analysis supported a causal relationship between NAFLD and cardio-cerebrovascular events. Conclusions: In patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease, the NAFLD presence and elevated FIB-4 scores link to heightened mortality risk and ESKD susceptibility. Moreover, NAFLD shows a causal relationship with cardio-cerebrovascular events.