Cognitive modeling of the Mnemonic Similarity Task as a digital biomarker for Alzheimer's disease

BACKGROUND: The Mnemonic Similarity Task (MST) is a popular memory task designed to assess hippocampal integrity. We assessed whether analyzing MST performance using a multinomial processing tree (MPT) cognitive model could detect individuals with elevated Alzheimer's disease (AD) biomarker status prior to cognitive decline. METHOD: We analyzed MST data from >200 individuals (young, cognitively healthy older adults and individuals with mild cognitive impairment [MCI]), a subset of which also had existing cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) amyloid beta (A beta) and phosphorylated tau (pTau) data using both traditional and model-derived approaches. We assessed how well each could predict age group, memory ability, MCI status, A beta, and pTau status using receiver operating characteristic analyses. RESULTS: Both approaches predicted age group membership equally, but MPT-derived metrics exceeded traditional metrics in all other comparisons. DISCUSSION: A MPT model of the MST can detect individuals with AD prior to cognitive decline, making it a potentially useful tool for screening and monitoring older adults during the asymptomatic phase of AD.